← Strictly Broken TCG Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Strictly Broken TCG Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.9%
avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1178
· median 1178
· range 1178–1178
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1131
Q1 1158
Q3 1239
1351
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
